Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Darius Slayton

IND

WR87 · overall #200 · tier 9 · age 29

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Projected points

64

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-14

repl 119

Range

5–124

sd 60

Week

1.9

@ WAS

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.4
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.15
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
10.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.8
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.76
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.54
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
WAS,PIT,TEN
Window matchup
+0.69
Opponents after
MIN,JAX,DAL
After matchup
+0.26
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

80.3

Per game

5.74

17-gm pace

98

Best / worst

13.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0WR118100000
27.1WR583261000
35.0WR594430000
45.9WR504344000
52.6WR786331000
83.6WR645226000
98.7WR357562000
1010.9WR274489000
122.8WR682123000
1313.1WR183241100
157.3WR4410453000
161.3WR103218000
174.6WR573236000
187.4WR309434000