Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

DJ Giddens

IND

RB63 · overall #202 · tier 9 · age 22

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Projected points

56

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 110

Range

50–63

sd 7

Week

3.4

vs BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
6.2
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
26
Rush TD / game
0.14
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
11.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.9
Games of history
5
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.78
OL pass protection
+0.85
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
35%
3WR rate
65%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
+0.12
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
31% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
1
Effective contributors
1.32
Top player's share
87%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.11

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BAL,KC,HOU
Window matchup
-0.81
Opponents after
WAS,PIT,TEN
After matchup
+0.36
Flip edge
-1.18
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.30

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

5

Points

9.6

Per game

1.92

17-gm pace

33

Best / worst

4.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.1124100000
20.00001000
30.31300000
52.252201000
183.083000000