Cole Kmet

CHI

TE35 · overall #224 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-23

repl 112

Range

44–122

sd 39

Week

4.4

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.5
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 2.6
Rec yards / game: 28
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.22
Total TD / game: 0.22
Games projected: 15.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 7.3
Games of history: 65
Age multiplier: 1.010
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.8
Projected plays / game: 62.5
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: +1.36
OL pass protection: +1.05
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 36%
3WR rate: 64%
1st-down pass rate: 45%
Run friendly: +0.61
Scheme creativity: +0.58
Play action / motion: 26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 33
Effective contributors: 2.04
Top player's share: 60%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup: +0.07
Opponents after: NE,SEA,TB
After matchup: +0.37
Flip edge: -0.30
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 10
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.27

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

48.7

Per game

3.04

17-gm pace

Best / worst

9.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	3.1	TE24	4	1	31	0
2	2.9	TE29	2	2	29	0
3	7.0	TE12	1	1	10	1
4	4.6	TE18	9	3	46	0
6	0.0	TE56	2	1	0	0
7	1.6	TE36	1	1	16	0
9	1.0	TE46	2	1	10	0
10	0.5	TE48	2	1	5	0
11	4.5	TE14	5	5	45	0
12	0.3	TE54	1	1	3	0
13	9.6	TE6	3	3	36	1
14	4.2	TE18	3	2	42	0
15	2.8	TE27	4	2	28	0
16	1.4	TE44	3	2	14	0
17	1.6	TE37	3	2	16	0
18	3.6	TE22	3	2	16	0