Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Colby Parkinson

LA

TE31 · overall #235 · tier 7 · age 27

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Projected points

71

4.7/gm

Value over replacement

-33

repl 111

Range

34–108

sd 37

Week

4.6

vs SF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.2
Rec yards / game
23
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.23
Total TD / game
0.23
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.4
Games of history
59
Age multiplier
1.010
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.83
OL pass protection
+0.80
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.62
Scheme creativity
+1.30
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.66
Top player's share
37%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SF,NYG,DEN
Window matchup
+0.42
Opponents after
PHI,BUF,ARI
After matchup
+0.53
Flip edge
-0.11
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

108.3

Per game

7.74

17-gm pace

132

Best / worst

22.0 / -1.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
1-1.622-60
42.722170
50.01000
76.233470
92.022100
1012.154411
118.422141
1212.144411
134.754270
1410.753321
1522.075752
163.142210
178.376530
1817.674362