Colby Parkinson

TE40 · overall #253 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

4.8/gm

Value over replacement

-31

repl 112

Range

29–107

sd 39

Week

2.1

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.1
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 2.2
Rec yards / game: 23
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.23
Total TD / game: 0.23
Games projected: 14.1
Observed pts/gm (history): 6.4
Games of history: 59
Age multiplier: 1.010
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.74
OL pass protection: +0.72
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 31%
3WR rate: 69%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.61
Scheme creativity: +1.28
Play action / motion: 32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.66
Top player's share: 37%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup: +0.04
Opponents after: LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup: +0.56
Flip edge: -0.52
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.11

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

129.8

Per game

9.27

17-gm pace

158

Best / worst

24.5 / -0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	-0.6	TE76	2	2	-6	0
4	3.7	TE34	2	2	17	0
5	0.0	TE58	1	0	0	0
7	7.7	TE22	3	3	47	0
9	3.0	TE39	2	2	10	0
10	14.1	TE8	5	4	41	1
11	9.4	TE11	2	2	14	1
12	14.1	TE5	4	4	41	1
13	6.7	TE24	5	4	27	0
14	12.2	TE11	5	3	32	1
15	24.5	TE5	7	5	75	2
16	4.1	TE37	4	2	21	0
17	11.3	TE12	7	6	53	0
18	19.6	TE4	7	4	36	2