Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

JAX

RB46 · overall #148 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

81

7.1/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 116

Range

49–113

sd 32

Week

5.1

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
9.4
Receptions / game
0.6
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
39
Rush TD / game
0.31
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.31
Games projected
11.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.5
Games of history
28
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
-0.42
Flip edge
+0.19
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.42

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

12

Points

89.0

Per game

7.42

17-gm pace

126

Best / worst

14.3 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
33.9RB44113900000
45.9RB4175900000
50.7RB645700000
77.2RB2331210000
80.2RB651200000
912.5RB8126510000
107.6RB3061610000
118.5RB28157901160
1310.1RB27114111000
145.2RB38105200000
1612.9RB18156311160
1814.3RB101665111180