Chris Moore

BAL

WR216 · overall #496 · tier – · age 33

← back to rankings

Projected points

2.6/gm

Value over replacement

-69

repl 119

Range

0–86

sd 48

Week

4.1

vs TEN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.8
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 1.1
Rec yards / game: 15
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.05
Total TD / game: 0.05
Games projected: 14.4
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.5
Games of history: 40
Age multiplier: 0.750
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.9
Projected plays / game: 60.2
Projected pass rate: 53%
OL run block: +0.50
OL pass protection: -0.17
OL continuity: 57%
2TE rate: 45%
3WR rate: 34%
1st-down pass rate: 46%
Run friendly: +0.69
Scheme creativity: +0.62
Play action / motion: 23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 93
Effective contributors: 2.62
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.14

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: TEN,ATL,CLE
Window matchup: +0.60
Opponents after: CIN,BUF,JAX
After matchup: -0.23
Flip edge: +0.84
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.08

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

38.6

Per game

3.86

17-gm pace

Best / worst

13.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD	Att	Ru Yds
1	4.4	WR77	1	1	34	0	0	0
3	4.5	WR74	2	2	25	0	0	0
4	0.9	WR111	3	0	0	0	1	9
5	0.0	WR101	1	0	0	0	0	0
6	13.6	WR21	5	3	46	1	0	0
7	7.9	WR44	5	2	59	0	0	0
10	0.0	WR94	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	4.8	WR63	5	2	28	0	0	0
16	0.0	WR119	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	2.5	WR91	1	1	15	0	0	0