Chris Brooks
GBRB71 · overall #244 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
62
4.9/gm
Value over replacement
-30
repl 116
Range
49–75
sd 13
Week
3.0
@ TB
Why this ranking
hand-set 2026-09-01
Raised 1 Sep. Green Bay's DEPTH 2 behind Lloyd with Jacobs fourth and carrying a groin, and the board had him RB74 on 5.32 car/g -- a fourth-back share for a man listed second. Games left blank deliberately: he is healthy and the claim is entirely about ROLE, so the override should spend itself on the rate and not invent availability. ROOM-CONSTRAINED 1 Sep: overrides run AFTER normalize_team_carries, so writing four in one backfield inflated Green Bay from 29.1 car/g to 37.8, third-highest of 32 against a median of 29.3. Jacobs being hurt moves carries around the room; it does not create them. All four are priced to hold the room near 30. TARGET ADOPTED AT RB68, not the RB55 first written: RB55 needs about 8 car/g, and at that plus Lloyd, Johnson and a returning Jacobs the room breaks 35 again. A depth-2 back sharing with three others is a flex-adjacent piece, and RB68 is the honest ceiling here.
This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.3
- Carries / game
- 5.1
- Receptions / game
- 1.8
- Rec yards / game
- 12
- Rush yards / game
- 22
- Rush TD / game
- 0.09
- Rec TD / game
- 0.00
- Total TD / game
- 0.09
- Games projected
- 12.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.5
- Games of history
- 31
- Age multiplier
- 0.953
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.1
- Projected plays / game
- 60.5
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- -0.62
- OL pass protection
- -0.44
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 32%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- +0.91
- Scheme creativity
- +0.54
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 35
- Effective contributors
- 2.10
- Top player's share
- 61%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.37
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- TB,CHI,DAL
- Window matchup
- +0.09
- Opponents after
- DET,CAR,NE
- After matchup
- -0.05
- Flip edge
- +0.14
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.21
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
32.7
Per game
1.92
17-gm pace
33
Best / worst
6.1 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.3 | RB64 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 2 | 5.7 | RB45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | RB76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.1 | RB65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.1 | RB67 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 0.0 | RB73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.0 | RB71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 4.4 | RB41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 | 0.0 | RB71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.8 | RB67 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 3.6 | RB46 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.9 | RB60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.6 | RB60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.6 | RB59 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.4 | RB78 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.1 | RB62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.1 | RB41 | 13 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |