Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Carson Steele

PHI

RB134 · overall #484 · tier – · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

38

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-66

repl 116

Range

23–54

sd 15

Week

0.9

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
14
Carries
52
Receptions
10
Rec yards
66
Rush yards
213
Rush TD
0.9
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
1.1
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
14
Effective contributors
1.61
Top player's share
77%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.05
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+1.42
Flip edge
-1.36
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.29

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Carson Steele — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.