Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Carson Steele

PHI

RB134 · overall #484 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

38

2.7/gm

Value over replacement

-66

repl 116

Range

23–54

sd 15

Week

0.9

vs LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.9
Carries / game
3.6
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
15
Rush TD / game
0.06
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
13
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
53%
OL run block
+1.28
OL pass protection
+1.10
OL continuity
81%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.20
Play action / motion
23% / 46%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
14
Effective contributors
1.61
Top player's share
77%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.31

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LA,JAX,CAR
Window matchup
+0.05
Opponents after
DAL,WAS,NYG
After matchup
+1.42
Flip edge
-1.36
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.29

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Carson Steele — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.