Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Carson Beck

ARIROOKIE R3

QB84 · overall #637 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

27

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-140

repl 250

Range

7–47

sd 20

Week

0.7

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
50
Pass yards
359
Pass TD
2.3
Carries
0
Rush yards
33
Rush TD
0.0
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.10
Flip edge
+0.29
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.49

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Carson Beck — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.