Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Brian Robinson

ATL

RB65 · overall #217 · tier 9 · age 27

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Projected points

82

5.8/gm

Value over replacement

-20

repl 116

Range

36–128

sd 46

Week

6.3

@ NO

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
7.2
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
29
Rush TD / game
0.21
Rec TD / game
0.06
Total TD / game
0.26
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.7
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.05
OL pass protection
+0.17
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
29%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.35
Scheme creativity
-0.20
Play action / motion
17% / 66%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
37
Effective contributors
1.87
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.40

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NO,BAL,CHI
Window matchup
-0.24
Opponents after
SF,TB,CIN
After matchup
+0.13
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.38

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

58.5

Per game

3.44

17-gm pace

58

Best / worst

11.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.2RB3993302140
22.4RB55620011-10
32.2RB6122200000
42.1RB5752100000
51.2RB6251200000
62.3RB520003380
73.6RB4593600000
80.0RB710000000
911.3RB1755310000
1011.0RB2184111140
112.4RB5382401000
124.9RB3974002140
132.6RB5882600000
152.1RB5892100000
162.0RB5952001000
173.3RB4842201160
180.9RB762900000