RB
Bijan Robinson
ATLRB2 · overall #2 · tier 1 · age 24
Projected points
260
17.1/gm
Value over replacement
156
repl 110
Range
213–308
sd 48
Week
14.4
@ PIT
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 5.5
- Carries / game
- 16.8
- Receptions / game
- 4.2
- Rec yards / game
- 35
- Rush yards / game
- 76
- Rush TD / game
- 0.48
- Rec TD / game
- 0.13
- Total TD / game
- 0.61
- Games projected
- 15.2
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 20.2
- Games of history
- 51
- Age multiplier
- 1.022
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.4
- Projected plays / game
- 62.0
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.08
- OL pass protection
- +0.66
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 33%
- 3WR rate
- 60%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 42%
- Run friendly
- +0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.15
- Play action / motion
- 18% / 65%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 37
- Effective contributors
- 1.87
- Top player's share
- 65%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.40
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- PIT,CAR,GB
- Window matchup
- -0.65
- Opponents after
- NO,BAL,CHI
- After matchup
- -0.17
- Flip edge
- -0.48
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.47
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
17
Points
370.8
Per game
21.81
17-gm pace
371
Best / worst
39.9 / 5.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.4 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 100 | 1 |
| 2 | 19.8 | 22 | 143 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
| 3 | 16.1 | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
| 4 | 28.1 | 17 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 106 | 0 |
| 6 | 35.8 | 19 | 170 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 0 |
| 7 | 21.2 | 14 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
| 8 | 5.8 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 17.6 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 | 10.8 | 17 | 84 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | 30.3 | 23 | 104 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 | 14.7 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 | 30.3 | 23 | 142 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 | 9.4 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | 29.5 | 19 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 82 | 0 |
| 16 | 29.8 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 |
| 17 | 39.9 | 22 | 195 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
| 18 | 7.3 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |