RB
Bhayshul Tuten
JAXRB22 · overall #37 · tier 5 · age 23
Projected points
167
11.8/gm
Value over replacement
64
repl 116
Range
144–190
sd 23
Week
12.5
@ CIN
The take
written by hand
He finished RB51 last year and I have him RB18, which is the biggest year-over-year move on my board. 14.4 carries a game at 23 with the age curve helping.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.5
- Carries / game
- 13.4
- Receptions / game
- 1.9
- Rec yards / game
- 14
- Rush yards / game
- 52
- Rush TD / game
- 0.44
- Rec TD / game
- 0.18
- Total TD / game
- 0.62
- Games projected
- 14.1
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 6.1
- Games of history
- 15
- Age multiplier
- 1.045
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -0.72
- OL pass protection
- -0.20
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.06
- Scheme creativity
- -0.03
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 51%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 12
- Effective contributors
- 1.85
- Top player's share
- 70%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.29
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CIN,PHI,HOU
- Window matchup
- -0.23
- Opponents after
- IND,BAL
- After matchup
- -0.42
- Flip edge
- +0.19
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.42
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
15
Points
83.6
Per game
5.57
17-gm pace
95
Best / worst
14.4 / -1.5
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1 | RB64 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 14.4 | RB17 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| 3 | 8.1 | RB30 | 6 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 2.7 | RB54 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.6 | RB56 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 6 | 3.8 | RB46 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 7 | 2.2 | RB50 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 9.1 | RB23 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.5 | RB54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.4 | RB17 | 15 | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.7 | RB52 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.4 | RB39 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | -1.5 | RB85 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 8.8 | RB30 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| 18 | 8.3 | RB24 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |