Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Behren Morton

NEROOKIE R7

QB80 · overall #688 · tier

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Projected points

37

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-206

repl 261

Range

19–55

sd 18

Week

2.1

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
71
Pass yards
500
Pass TD
3.7
Carries
0
Rush yards
43
Rush TD
0.0
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.42
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
+0.26
Flip edge
-0.67
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.27

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Behren Morton — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.