Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Behren Morton

NEROOKIE R7

QB87 · overall #640 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

26

2.4/gm

Value over replacement

-141

repl 250

Range

6–46

sd 20

Week

0.6

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
4.5
Pass yards / game
32
Pass TD / game
0.24
Carries / game
0.0
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.00
Games projected
10.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.17
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.07
Flip edge
+0.24
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.08

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Behren Morton — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.