Zay Flowers

RAISED 22 Aug, reversing a cut this row's OWN REASON predicted would go stale. The 17 Aug text already said it: 'an override written to align him TO the market now sits BELOW both' -- ADP WR13, ECR WR15, and the override landing WR17. It has since drifted further, to WR22. It called itself a HISTORY anchor at 6.86 targets a game, and that argument has flipped with the history. His three seasons run 10.37, 10.15, 12.14 points a game on 53.6, 62.3, 71.2 receiving yards -- rising on both, and at the model's WR decay of 0.50 his own weighted rate is 11.32/g against a projected 10.30. The anchor now argues UP. 172.1 = 11.32 x 15.2 games, his own record rather than a market target, which lands around WR15 and between ADP WR13 and ECR WR15 without conceding to either. Deliberately below the 187.2 native the 17 Aug note recorded, because WR7 was the level this row existed to dispute and that part still holds.

This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.