Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Zavion Thomas

CHIROOKIE R3

WR161 · overall #530 · tier

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Projected points

33

2.3/gm

Value over replacement

-72

repl 115

Range

15–52

sd 18

Week

2.1

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
22
Carries
0
Receptions
14
Rec yards
192
Rush yards
2
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
1.2
Total TD
1.2
Games projected
14.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.37
OL pass protection
+1.06
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.60
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CAR,MIN,PHI
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
NYJ,GB,ATL
After matchup
+0.71
Flip edge
-1.29
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Zavion Thomas — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.