Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Zavier Scott

CHI

RB125 · overall #422 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

35

2.8/gm

Value over replacement

-57

repl 116

Range

6–64

sd 29

Week

1.0

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.2
Carries / game
2.7
Receptions / game
0.9
Rec yards / game
7
Rush yards / game
11
Rush TD / game
0.05
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.07
Games projected
12.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.6
Games of history
11
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.04
Top player's share
56%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.35

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.57
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
+0.66
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.57

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

11

Points

25.2

Per game

2.29

17-gm pace

39

Best / worst

10.4 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
35.0RB38830011200
410.4RB2721086431
5-0.2RB8551800000
70.6RB634401120
82.4RB4721602280
90.0RB660000000
132.1RB5831701140
142.0RB5431501150
161.2RB642401180
170.0RB810000000
181.7RB613901180