TE
Zach Ertz
PHITE18 · overall #133 · tier 4 · age 35
Projected points
76
7.2/gm
Value over replacement
3
repl 112
Range
42–109
sd 34
Week
3.3
vs LA
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 5.1
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 3.6
- Rec yards / game
- 35
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.19
- Total TD / game
- 0.19
- Games projected
- 10.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 10.2
- Games of history
- 47
- Age multiplier
- 0.797
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.28
- OL pass protection
- +1.10
- OL continuity
- 81%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.90
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 10
- Effective contributors
- 1.55
- Top player's share
- 79%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.28
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- LA,JAX,CAR
- Window matchup
- -0.00
- Opponents after
- DAL,WAS,NYG
- After matchup
- +0.91
- Flip edge
- -0.91
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.10
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
76.4
Per game
5.88
17-gm pace
100
Best / worst
12.4 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8.6 | TE4 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 1 |
| 2 | 12.4 | TE2 | 8 | 6 | 64 | 1 |
| 3 | 3.8 | TE22 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| 4 | 4.1 | TE22 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | TE57 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 10.3 | TE6 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 1 |
| 7 | 9.7 | TE11 | 7 | 3 | 37 | 1 |
| 8 | 1.6 | TE35 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 0 |
| 9 | 4.6 | TE23 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 | 5.4 | TE16 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 | 4.2 | TE16 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 | 10.6 | TE3 | 13 | 10 | 106 | 0 |
| 14 | 1.1 | TE41 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 |