Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Xavier Weaver

ARI

WR151 · overall #358 · tier – · age 25

← back to rankings

Projected points

20

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-49

repl 119

Range

8–33

sd 13

Week

0.5

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
17
Carries
1
Receptions
10
Rec yards
120
Rush yards
3
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
0.5
Games projected
9.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.6
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
88
Effective contributors
3.31
Top player's share
46%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.14
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.27
Flip edge
+0.42
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

7

Points

6.7

Per game

0.96

17-gm pace

16

Best / worst

2.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
40.0WR110100000
70.0WR101000000
111.5WR773215000
120.9WR82319000
130.0WR108100000
161.9WR842219000
172.4WR693224000