Xavier Weaver

ARI

WR151 · overall #358 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

2.2/gm

Value over replacement

-49

repl 119

Range

8–33

sd 13

Week

0.5

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.8
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 1.1
Rec yards / game: 13
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.05
Total TD / game: 0.05
Games projected: 9.3
Observed pts/gm (history): 1.6
Games of history: 9
Age multiplier: 1.026
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.3
Projected plays / game: 62.2
Projected pass rate: 59%
OL run block: -0.14
OL pass protection: -0.29
OL continuity: 51%
2TE rate: 48%
3WR rate: 52%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.40
Scheme creativity: +0.44
Play action / motion: 25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 88
Effective contributors: 3.31
Top player's share: 46%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.93

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup: +0.14
Opponents after: DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup: -0.27
Flip edge: +0.42
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.38

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

6.7

Per game

0.96

17-gm pace

Best / worst

2.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
4	0.0	WR110	1	0	0
7	0.0	WR101	0	0	0
11	1.5	WR77	3	2	15
12	0.9	WR82	3	1	9
13	0.0	WR108	1	0	0
16	1.9	WR84	2	2	19
17	2.4	WR69	3	2	24