WR
Xavier Smith
LAWR241 · overall #571 · tier – · age 29
Projected points
23
1.6/gm
Value over replacement
-84
repl 119
Range
1–45
sd 22
Week
0.5
@ PHI
Projected usage
opportunity over the projected season
- Targets
- 15
- Carries
- 2
- Receptions
- 10
- Rec yards
- 146
- Rush yards
- 14
- Rush TD
- 0.0
- Rec TD
- 0.3
- Total TD
- 0.3
- Games projected
- 14.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 2.2
- Games of history
- 30
- Age multiplier
- 0.876
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.6
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.74
- OL pass protection
- +0.72
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.61
- Scheme creativity
- +1.28
- Play action / motion
- 32% / 70%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 61
- Effective contributors
- 3.17
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.74
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- PHI,BUF,ARI
- Window matchup
- -0.23
- Opponents after
- LV,LAC,WAS
- After matchup
- +0.35
- Flip edge
- -0.59
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 11
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.01
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
30.3
Per game
1.89
17-gm pace
32
Best / worst
8.2 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.6 | WR55 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.0 | WR119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 0.0 | WR120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | WR110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 0.0 | WR100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0.0 | WR99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.5 | WR80 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 1.2 | WR80 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 1.4 | WR76 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 0.8 | WR94 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 8.2 | WR28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.6 | WR87 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 0.0 | WR104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 5.7 | WR39 | 2 | 2 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.7 | WR33 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.6 | WR96 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |