Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Xavier Restrepo

TEN

WR152 · overall #359 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

25

2.5/gm

Value over replacement

-49

repl 119

Range

16–34

sd 9

Week

0.6

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.9
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
1.2
Rec yards / game
14
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.08
Total TD / game
0.08
Games projected
9.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.5
Games of history
2
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
-0.10
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

2

Points

5.6

Per game

2.80

17-gm pace

48

Best / worst

3.6 / 2.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
123.6WR586226000
132.0WR851115000