WR
Xavier Hutchinson
HOUWR99 · overall #237 · tier – · age 26
Projected points
81
5.5/gm
Value over replacement
-28
repl 119
Range
53–110
sd 29
Week
6.2
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.6
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 2.7
- Rec yards / game
- 31
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.12
- Total TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 14.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.4
- Games of history
- 42
- Age multiplier
- 1.009
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.9
- Projected plays / game
- 61.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- -1.37
- OL pass protection
- -1.19
- OL continuity
- 64%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 76%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 46%
- Run friendly
- -0.36
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 53%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.55
- Top player's share
- 35%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk7
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- DAL,TEN,JAX
- Window matchup
- +0.44
- Opponents after
- NYG,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.52
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.86
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
16
Points
63.0
Per game
3.94
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
13.8 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.5 | WR57 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | 2.9 | WR77 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.6 | WR84 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.7 | WR84 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 13.8 | WR10 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 1.3 | WR86 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 12.9 | WR9 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 3.0 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 4.2 | WR44 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 0.9 | WR82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | 3.9 | WR46 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 0.0 | WR101 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 1.6 | WR85 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.4 | WR112 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 2.9 | WR65 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 18 | 8.4 | WR19 | 9 | 5 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |