WR
Van Jefferson
WASWR188 · overall #441 · tier – · age 30
Projected points
48
3.3/gm
Value over replacement
-61
repl 119
Range
17–78
sd 31
Week
1.3
vs IND
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 2.8
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 1.6
- Rec yards / game
- 19
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.10
- Total TD / game
- 0.10
- Games projected
- 14.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 4.5
- Games of history
- 53
- Age multiplier
- 0.845
- Usage carryover
- 0.89
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.8
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- -0.49
- OL pass protection
- -0.84
- OL continuity
- 84%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 67%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- -0.19
- Scheme creativity
- -0.16
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 50%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 4.70
- Top player's share
- 36%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy low
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- IND,NYG,SF
- Window matchup
- -0.05
- Opponents after
- PHI,LA
- After matchup
- -0.59
- Flip edge
- +0.54
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.41
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
14
Points
55.5
Per game
3.96
17-gm pace
67
Best / worst
9.7 / 1.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2.0 | WR99 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 1.3 | WR106 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 1.1 | WR106 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 9.5 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.1 | WR46 | 4 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1.1 | WR85 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 2.6 | WR70 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 9.7 | WR22 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 1.6 | WR82 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 3.5 | WR66 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 2.7 | WR70 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.8 | WR60 | 5 | 1 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 3.4 | WR77 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 6.1 | WR43 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |