Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Tyson Bagent

CHI

QB70 · overall #622 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

24

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-104

repl 250

Range

0–48

sd 24

Week

1.1

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Pass attempts
127
Pass yards
938
Pass TD
5.6
Carries
4
Rush yards
66
Rush TD
0.2
Games projected
8.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.3
Games of history
11
Age multiplier
1.038
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
24
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.34

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.61
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.22
Flip edge
+0.40
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

2

Points

2.6

Per game

1.29

17-gm pace

22

Best / worst

1.8 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
21.8QB36232700270
90.8QB30112000000