Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB99 · overall #333 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

0–128

sd 67

Week

1.6

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
61
Receptions
21
Rec yards
154
Rush yards
260
Rush TD
1.5
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.0
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.73
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.60
Flip edge
+1.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

124.8

Per game

8.32

17-gm pace

141

Best / worst

21.7 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.5RB401024052110
25.1RB36515054360
33.6RB4672903270
60.6RB624600000
710.6RB1694610000
85.3RB341039032140
93.7RB38518043190
107.1RB33147102100
1113.9RB141988044510
1213.0RB112062043680
133.3RB491036011-30
1521.7RB41570143271
167.8RB31167102270
175.7RB311462021-50
1819.9RB318103098561