Tyrell Shavers

BUF

WR104 · overall #243 · tier – · age 27

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Projected points

3.1/gm

Value over replacement

-29

repl 119

Range

0–63

sd 43

Week

0.0

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 13
Carries: 0
Receptions: 8
Rec yards: 120
Rush yards: 2
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 0.8
Total TD: 0.8
Games projected: 6.7
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.6
Games of history: 12
Age multiplier: 0.939
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.7
Projected plays / game: 61.1
Projected pass rate: 55%
OL run block: +1.32
OL pass protection: +1.30
OL continuity: 78%
2TE rate: 28%
3WR rate: 65%
1st-down pass rate: 40%
Run friendly: +0.97
Scheme creativity: +0.23
Play action / motion: 21% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 4.79
Top player's share: 35%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: sell high
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: NE,LA,LV
Window matchup: +0.72
Opponents after: BAL,MIN
After matchup: -0.41
Flip edge: +1.13
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 7
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.44

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

38.0

Per game

3.45

17-gm pace

Best / worst

17.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	0.0	WR122	2	0	0	0
3	3.4	WR77	2	2	24	0
4	0.0	WR113	0	0	0	0
5	0.0	WR101	1	0	0	0
6	4.2	WR57	5	3	27	0
9	1.2	WR88	1	1	7	0
10	2.9	WR63	1	1	24	0
11	17.0	WR8	5	4	90	1
14	2.1	WR80	1	1	16	0
16	2.6	WR87	2	1	21	0
17	4.6	WR57	3	2	36	0