Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Tyquan Thornton

KC

WR107 · overall #247 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

57

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-30

repl 119

Range

22–91

sd 35

Week

4.5

@ LV

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.3
Carries / game
0.3
Receptions / game
1.8
Rec yards / game
26
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.03
Rec TD / game
0.16
Total TD / game
0.19
Games projected
11.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.7
Games of history
37
Age multiplier
1.009
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.7
Projected plays / game
63.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
+0.13
OL pass protection
-0.04
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
41%
3WR rate
56%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.61
Scheme creativity
+0.04
Play action / motion
17% / 55%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.80
Top player's share
25%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LV,LAC
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,NYJ
After matchup
-0.24
Flip edge
+0.60
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.27

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

71.3

Per game

5.94

17-gm pace

101

Best / worst

15.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
15.1WR554241000
212.9WR285259100
315.6WR159571100
47.6WR382111100
510.5WR275390000
74.4WR612139000
90.0WR97100000
116.6WR422161000
120.0WR98100000
130.0WR108000000
142.9WR653219000
155.7WR553247000