QB
Tyler Shough
NOQB15 · overall #120 · tier 4 · age 27
Projected points
212
16.3/gm
Value over replacement
10
repl 250
Range
177–248
sd 35
Week
20.8
vs ATL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 33.2
- Pass yards / game
- 236
- Pass TD / game
- 1.40
- Carries / game
- 4.1
- Rush yards / game
- 16
- Rush TD / game
- 0.17
- Games projected
- 13.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.1
- Games of history
- 11
- Age multiplier
- 1.025
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.21
- OL pass protection
- +0.11
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- Window matchup
- -0.03
- Opponents after
- PIT,CLE
- After matchup
- +0.08
- Flip edge
- -0.12
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.57
2025 game log
full season · Full PPR
Games
11
Points
158.0
Per game
14.36
17-gm pace
244
Best / worst
21.9 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.0 | QB38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 4.3 | QB25 | 17 | 30 | 128 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 9 | 9.2 | QB23 | 15 | 24 | 176 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | 19.0 | QB11 | 19 | 27 | 282 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | 7.9 | QB22 | 30 | 43 | 243 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 | 17.4 | QB12 | 26 | 38 | 239 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 | 21.3 | QB7 | 13 | 20 | 144 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 55 | 2 |
| 15 | 18.1 | QB16 | 24 | 32 | 272 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 | 17.1 | QB15 | 32 | 49 | 308 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | 21.9 | QB9 | 22 | 27 | 333 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | 21.8 | QB5 | 23 | 35 | 259 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 1 |