Tyler Johnson

NYJ

WR101 · overall #239 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

5.0/gm

Value over replacement

-28

repl 119

Range

28–88

sd 30

Week

1.4

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.5
Carries / game: 0.0
Receptions / game: 2.2
Rec yards / game: 28
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.12
Total TD / game: 0.12
Games projected: 11.6
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.8
Games of history: 21
Age multiplier: 0.908
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.2
Projected plays / game: 60.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -0.17
OL pass protection: -0.10
OL continuity: 79%
2TE rate: 22%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 41%
Run friendly: -0.43
Scheme creativity: -0.07
Play action / motion: 19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 6.43
Top player's share: 22%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup: +0.28
Opponents after: MIA,LV,KC
After matchup: +0.04
Flip edge: +0.24
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.07

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

31.7

Per game

3.52

17-gm pace

Best / worst

13.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	4.1	WR64	2	2	31	0
2	0.0	WR122	1	0	0	0
3	4.2	WR63	3	2	32	0
6	0.0	WR100	1	0	0	0
7	7.5	WR35	3	3	60	0
8	13.9	WR13	5	3	64	1
10	0.0	WR94	1	0	0	0
16	1.2	WR106	1	1	7	0
17	0.8	WR116	1	1	3	0