Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Tyler Higbee

LA

TE41 · overall #260 · tier – · age 33

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Projected points

48

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-32

repl 112

Range

5–91

sd 43

Week

3.3

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.2
Rec yards / game
22
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.15
Total TD / game
0.15
Games projected
11.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.8
Games of history
44
Age multiplier
0.842
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.74
OL pass protection
+0.72
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.61
Scheme creativity
+1.28
Play action / motion
32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.66
Top player's share
37%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup
+0.56
Flip edge
-0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.11

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

58.6

Per game

5.86

17-gm pace

100

Best / worst

17.6 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.0TE610000
25.7TE1844370
30.0TE572000
43.5TE3052250
612.0TE744401
73.4TE3063190
98.8TE1743131
104.8TE2233330
112.8TE3321230
1817.6TE365911