Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Tyler Goodson

DAL

RB80 · overall #283 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

49

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-36

repl 116

Range

27–72

sd 23

Week

2.5

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.1
Carries / game
5.6
Receptions / game
0.8
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
24
Rush TD / game
0.09
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.12
Games projected
11.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.8
Games of history
30
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
+0.09
OL continuity
86%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.33
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup
+0.38
Flip edge
-0.47
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.44

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

4.2

Per game

0.42

17-gm pace

7

Best / worst

1.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
30.6RB712600000
40.5RB700001100
80.2RB662200000
91.3RB560002180
100.4RB611400000
120.0RB630000000
130.0RB740000000
150.0RB800000000
160.9RB713900000
180.3RB781300000