RB
Tyjae Spears
TENRB47 · overall #153 · tier 8 · age 25
Projected points
89
7.0/gm
Value over replacement
-3
repl 116
Range
44–134
sd 45
Week
3.9
@ BAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 3.8
- Carries / game
- 5.8
- Receptions / game
- 3.1
- Rec yards / game
- 20
- Rush yards / game
- 22
- Rush TD / game
- 0.23
- Rec TD / game
- 0.04
- Total TD / game
- 0.27
- Games projected
- 12.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 9.2
- Games of history
- 42
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 35.4
- Projected plays / game
- 59.5
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -1.29
- OL pass protection
- -1.25
- OL continuity
- 46%
- 2TE rate
- 21%
- 3WR rate
- 77%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 39%
- Run friendly
- +0.16
- Scheme creativity
- -0.30
- Play action / motion
- 20% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 57
- Effective contributors
- 1.68
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 1.70
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- BAL,HOU,IND
- Window matchup
- -1.00
- Opponents after
- CLE,CIN
- After matchup
- -0.36
- Flip edge
- -0.64
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 9
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.55
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
13
Points
66.7
Per game
5.13
17-gm pace
87
Best / worst
16.5 / 0.1
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.4 | RB55 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 5.0 | RB30 | 5 | 31 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.0 | RB36 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
| 8 | 14.2 | RB13 | 9 | 59 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.2 | RB28 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 | 3.4 | RB44 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 | 2.5 | RB44 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.4 | RB56 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 | 4.7 | RB40 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.6 | RB47 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 16.5 | RB12 | 13 | 52 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 17 | 0.1 | RB78 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | 2.7 | RB53 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 0 |