RB
Ty Johnson
BUFRB67 · overall #221 · tier – · age 29
Projected points
78
5.7/gm
Value over replacement
-22
repl 116
Range
53–103
sd 25
Week
5.3
vs NE
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 1.8
- Carries / game
- 4.5
- Receptions / game
- 1.3
- Rec yards / game
- 14
- Rush yards / game
- 21
- Rush TD / game
- 0.18
- Rec TD / game
- 0.09
- Total TD / game
- 0.27
- Games projected
- 13.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 5.4
- Games of history
- 55
- Age multiplier
- 0.895
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 61.1
- Projected pass rate
- 55%
- OL run block
- +1.32
- OL pass protection
- +1.30
- OL continuity
- 78%
- 2TE rate
- 28%
- 3WR rate
- 65%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.97
- Scheme creativity
- +0.23
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 8
- Effective contributors
- 1.73
- Top player's share
- 74%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.25
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- NE,LA,LV
- Window matchup
- +0.49
- Opponents after
- BAL,MIN
- After matchup
- -0.52
- Flip edge
- +1.02
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 7
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.26
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
76.3
Per game
4.49
17-gm pace
76
Best / worst
17.6 / 0.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.4 | RB47 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.6 | RB68 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.1 | RB56 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 4 | 0.0 | RB73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 1.0 | RB62 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 1.6 | RB55 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
| 8 | 0.6 | RB60 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 8.0 | RB24 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 | 2.6 | RB48 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 | 13.0 | RB16 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 61 | 1 |
| 12 | 5.2 | RB31 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 | 2.5 | RB55 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 | 3.9 | RB43 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | 2.8 | RB53 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 | 7.6 | RB32 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 4.8 | RB34 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 | 17.6 | RB4 | 13 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 1 |