Treylon Burks

WAS

WR105 · overall #245 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-30

repl 119

Range

19–75

sd 28

Week

3.9

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 3.7
Carries / game: 0.3
Receptions / game: 2.2
Rec yards / game: 27
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.11
Total TD / game: 0.11
Games projected: 10.3
Observed pts/gm (history): 3.8
Games of history: 33
Age multiplier: 1.009
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.8
Projected plays / game: 60.9
Projected pass rate: 56%
OL run block: -0.49
OL pass protection: -0.84
OL continuity: 84%
2TE rate: 31%
3WR rate: 67%
1st-down pass rate: 45%
Run friendly: -0.19
Scheme creativity: -0.16
Play action / motion: 20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 4.70
Top player's share: 36%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup: -0.05
Opponents after: PHI,LA
After matchup: -0.59
Flip edge: +0.54
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 7
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.41

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

19.0

Per game

2.38

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
9	1.4	WR78	1	1	14	0
10	5.8	WR38	3	3	58	0
13	6.5	WR37	4	1	5	1
14	0.0	WR101	1	0	0	0
15	0.0	WR104	2	0	0	0
16	3.0	WR67	5	2	30	0
17	1.1	WR92	2	1	11	0
18	1.2	WR79	4	2	12	0