Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Trey Palmer

NO

WR204 · overall #469 · tier – · age 25

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Projected points

44

3.0/gm

Value over replacement

-64

repl 119

Range

11–77

sd 33

Week

1.3

vs ATL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.3
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
16
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.11
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
14.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.6
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.6
Projected plays / game
62.8
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.21
OL pass protection
+0.11
OL continuity
76%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
69%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.26
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
19% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.72
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ATL,MIN,NYG
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
PIT,CLE
After matchup
+0.48
Flip edge
-0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.25

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Trey Palmer — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.