Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Trey Benson

ARI

RB49 · overall #165 · tier – · age 24

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Projected points

7

4.0/gm

Value over replacement

-5

repl 116

Range

0–24

sd 17

Week

0.0

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
4.9
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
8
Rush yards / game
21
Rush TD / game
0.08
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.09
Games projected
1.6
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.9
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
62.2
Projected pass rate
59%
OL run block
-0.14
OL pass protection
-0.29
OL continuity
51%
2TE rate
48%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.40
Scheme creativity
+0.44
Play action / motion
25% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
4.46
Top player's share
32%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYG,DET,LA
Window matchup
+0.25
Opponents after
DEN,DAL,SEA
After matchup
-0.36
Flip edge
+0.62
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.37

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

4

Points

22.4

Per game

5.60

17-gm pace

95

Best / worst

7.5 / 4.4

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.5RB2586901160
24.4RB39314064300
35.1RB37104204390
45.4RB44835055190