Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

TreVeyon Henderson

NE

RB33 · overall #83 · tier 7 · age 23

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Projected points

134

9.0/gm

Value over replacement

26

repl 116

Range

71–196

sd 62

Week

8.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
41
Carries
140
Receptions
32
Rec yards
212
Rush yards
604
Rush TD
6.1
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
6.6
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.0
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.14
Flip edge
+0.55
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

206.2

Per game

12.13

17-gm pace

206

Best / worst

32.3 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
111.1RB25527066240
26.0RB41310022300
37.7RB351128033190
412.6RB24732122140
54.7RB4262403230
64.6RB4592702190
70.5RB702500000
85.5RB38107500000
912.7RB151455064320
1028.0RB41414721130
1132.3RB31962255311
1211.1RB221866043150
1311.6RB251167043190
1530.1RB314148232130
162.2RB605301190
178.2RB29198200000
1817.3RB10135320000