Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

TreVeyon Henderson

NE

RB33 · overall #83 · tier 7 · age 23

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Projected points

134

9.0/gm

Value over replacement

26

repl 116

Range

71–196

sd 62

Week

8.4

@ BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.7
Carries / game
9.5
Receptions / game
2.2
Rec yards / game
14
Rush yards / game
41
Rush TD / game
0.41
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.45
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.0
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.045
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
60.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.38
OL pass protection
-0.39
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.11
Scheme creativity
-0.58
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BUF,LV,NYJ
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
CHI,MIA,GB
After matchup
-0.14
Flip edge
+0.55
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

206.2

Per game

12.13

17-gm pace

206

Best / worst

32.3 / 0.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
111.1RB25527066240
26.0RB41310022300
37.7RB351128033190
412.6RB24732122140
54.7RB4262403230
64.6RB4592702190
70.5RB702500000
85.5RB38107500000
912.7RB151455064320
1028.0RB41414721130
1132.3RB31962255311
1211.1RB221866043150
1311.6RB251167043190
1530.1RB314148232130
162.2RB605301190
178.2RB29198200000
1817.3RB10135320000