Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Tre Harris

LAC

WR89 · overall #260 · tier 10 · age 24

← back to rankings

Projected points

69

4.6/gm

Value over replacement

-39

repl 115

Range

45–93

sd 24

Week

5.1

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.3
Carries / game
0.4
Receptions / game
2.1
Rec yards / game
27
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.12
Total TD / game
0.12
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
4.3
Games of history
16
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
90
Effective contributors
3.89
Top player's share
33%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
2.00

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+0.74
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.93
Flip edge
+1.67
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.25

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

54.4

Per game

3.40

17-gm pace

58

Best / worst

7.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
11.61111000
24.43234000
30.0100000
40.0100000
64.75427000
73.32223000
87.8228100
92.82218000
101.4224000
111.71112000
134.54330000
142.62118013
156.45349000
167.45454000
172.0118017
183.86228000