TE
Travis Kelce
KCTE6 · overall #85 · tier 2 · age 36
Projected points
140
8.9/gm
Value over replacement
31
repl 111
Range
103–177
sd 37
Week
8.9
vs DEN
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.5
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.7
- Rec yards / game
- 48
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.29
- Total TD / game
- 0.29
- Games projected
- 15.7
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.9
- Games of history
- 65
- Age multiplier
- 0.774
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.7
- Projected plays / game
- 63.3
- Projected pass rate
- 59%
- OL run block
- +0.25
- OL pass protection
- +0.05
- OL continuity
- 87%
- 2TE rate
- 41%
- 3WR rate
- 56%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 54%
- Run friendly
- -1.61
- Scheme creativity
- +0.01
- Play action / motion
- 17% / 55%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 6
- Effective contributors
- 1.66
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.22
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DEN,IND,MIA
- Window matchup
- +0.95
- Opponents after
- LV,LAC
- After matchup
- -0.01
- Flip edge
- +0.96
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.10
2025 game log
full season · Standard
Games
17
Points
117.2
Per game
6.89
17-gm pace
117
Best / worst
15.9 / 0.6
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10.7 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 1 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 0 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 5 | 12.1 | 8 | 7 | 61 | 1 |
| 6 | 7.8 | 7 | 6 | 78 | 0 |
| 7 | 5.4 | 3 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| 8 | 15.9 | 8 | 6 | 99 | 1 |
| 9 | 8.6 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 0 |
| 11 | 15.1 | 13 | 9 | 91 | 1 |
| 12 | 4.4 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 | 10.5 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 1 |
| 14 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | 7.0 | 9 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 16 | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.6 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 | 1.2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 0 |