Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Travis Homer

PIT

RB130 · overall #443 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

12

1.2/gm

Value over replacement

-61

repl 116

Range

0–37

sd 25

Week

0.8

@ CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.4
Carries / game
1.7
Receptions / game
0.3
Rec yards / game
3
Rush yards / game
6
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.03
Games projected
10.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
0.6
Games of history
33
Age multiplier
0.915
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
61.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.51
OL pass protection
+0.02
OL continuity
65%
2TE rate
45%
3WR rate
52%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.86
Scheme creativity
-0.29
Play action / motion
21% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
86
Effective contributors
2.14
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CLE,IND,TB
Window matchup
-0.14
Opponents after
NO,CLE
After matchup
-0.09
Flip edge
-0.05
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.21

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

8

Points

-0.2

Per game

-0.03

17-gm pace

-0

Best / worst

0.0 / -0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
70.0RB730000000
80.0RB710000000
90.0RB670000000
11-0.2RB881-200000
130.0RB740000000
140.0RB710000000
170.0RB820000000
180.0RB820000000