Tory Horton

SEA

WR109 · overall #254 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-31

repl 119

Range

10–105

sd 48

Week

3.7

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Per game Season total

Targets: 34
Carries: 2
Receptions: 21
Rec yards: 263
Rush yards: 11
Rush TD: 0.0
Rec TD: 3.5
Total TD: 3.5
Games projected: 11.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 8.1
Games of history: 8
Age multiplier: 1.052
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.9
Projected plays / game: 61.2
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.01
OL pass protection: +0.28
OL continuity: 99%
2TE rate: 34%
3WR rate: 58%
1st-down pass rate: 50%
Run friendly: +0.17
Scheme creativity: -0.21
Play action / motion: 23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 48
Effective contributors: 2.58
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup: -0.18
Opponents after: KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup: +0.12
Flip edge: -0.29
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.42

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

58.6

Per game

7.32

17-gm pace

125

Best / worst

18.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	WR118	0	0	0	0
2	10.2	WR34	4	2	32	1
3	16.7	WR10	4	3	32	1
4	1.5	WR99	2	1	10	0
5	11.4	WR24	4	3	39	1
6	0.0	WR100	1	0	0	0
7	0.0	WR103	3	0	0	0
9	18.8	WR7	4	4	48	2