Tory Horton

SEA

WR109 · overall #254 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

4.9/gm

Value over replacement

-31

repl 119

Range

10–105

sd 48

Week

3.7

vs LAC

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 2.9
Carries / game: 0.2
Receptions / game: 1.8
Rec yards / game: 22
Rush yards / game: 1
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.29
Total TD / game: 0.29
Games projected: 11.9
Observed pts/gm (history): 8.1
Games of history: 8
Age multiplier: 1.052
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 32.9
Projected plays / game: 61.2
Projected pass rate: 57%
OL run block: +0.01
OL pass protection: +0.28
OL continuity: 99%
2TE rate: 34%
3WR rate: 58%
1st-down pass rate: 50%
Run friendly: +0.17
Scheme creativity: -0.21
Play action / motion: 23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: settled
Ambiguity score: 48
Effective contributors: 2.58
Top player's share: 56%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.54

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup: -0.18
Opponents after: KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup: +0.12
Flip edge: -0.29
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.42

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

65.1

Per game

8.14

17-gm pace

138

Best / worst

20.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
1	0.0	WR118	0	0	0	0
2	11.2	WR37	4	2	32	1
3	18.2	WR14	4	3	32	1
4	2.0	WR99	2	1	10	0
5	12.9	WR27	4	3	39	1
6	0.0	WR100	1	0	0	0
7	0.0	WR103	3	0	0	0
9	20.8	WR8	4	4	48	2