Tim Patrick

NYJ

WR80 · overall #190 · tier – · age 32

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Projected points

2.9/gm

Value over replacement

-10

repl 119

Range

0–40

sd 33

Week

0.0

@ CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.9
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 1.2
Rec yards / game: 15
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.14
Total TD / game: 0.14
Games projected: 2.2
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.8
Games of history: 28
Age multiplier: 0.782
Usage carryover: 0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 34.2
Projected plays / game: 60.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -0.17
OL pass protection: -0.10
OL continuity: 79%
2TE rate: 22%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 41%
Run friendly: -0.43
Scheme creativity: -0.07
Play action / motion: 19% / 57%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 6.43
Top player's share: 22%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: buy low
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: CHI,CLE,NE
Window matchup: +0.28
Opponents after: MIA,LV,KC
After matchup: +0.04
Flip edge: +0.24
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 13
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.07

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

51.7

Per game

3.98

17-gm pace

Best / worst

18.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	0.0	WR122	1	0	0	0
3	2.6	WR96	1	1	16	0
4	0.9	WR111	1	1	-1	0
5	0.0	WR101	1	0	0	0
6	9.6	WR33	1	1	26	1
7	3.2	WR79	1	1	22	0
11	11.0	WR27	4	3	20	1
12	0.0	WR98	4	0	0	0
13	2.1	WR92	1	1	11	0
14	18.8	WR9	6	5	78	1
16	2.1	WR98	1	1	11	0
17	0.0	WR120	1	0	0	0
18	1.4	WR99	1	1	4	0