Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Tim Jones

JAX

WR238 · overall #561 · tier – · age 28

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Projected points

11

0.9/gm

Value over replacement

-82

repl 119

Range

1–22

sd 11

Week

0.3

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
10
Carries
0
Receptions
6
Rec yards
71
Rush yards
0
Rush TD
0.0
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
0.2
Games projected
12.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
1.2
Games of history
27
Age multiplier
0.908
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.60
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.79
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

2

Points

2.0

Per game

1.00

17-gm pace

17

Best / worst

2.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
92.0WR781115000
100.0WR94000000