Terrance Ferguson

TE55 · overall #315 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

3.8/gm

Value over replacement

-41

repl 112

Range

9–88

sd 40

Week

3.4

@ PHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 2.5
Carries / game: 0.1
Receptions / game: 1.6
Rec yards / game: 19
Rush yards / game: 0
Rush TD / game: 0.00
Rec TD / game: 0.16
Total TD / game: 0.16
Games projected: 12.8
Observed pts/gm (history): 4.7
Games of history: 11
Age multiplier: 1.060
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 33.6
Projected plays / game: 61.9
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.74
OL pass protection: +0.72
OL continuity: 82%
2TE rate: 31%
3WR rate: 69%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.61
Scheme creativity: +1.28
Play action / motion: 32% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: committee
Ambiguity score: 75
Effective contributors: 3.66
Top player's share: 37%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: PHI,BUF,ARI
Window matchup: +0.04
Opponents after: LV,LAC,WAS
After matchup: +0.56
Flip edge: -0.52
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 11
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.11

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

46.6

Per game

4.24

17-gm pace

Best / worst

12.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
5	2.6	TE37	1	1	21	0
6	0.0	TE60	0	0	0	0
7	9.6	TE16	3	1	31	1
9	6.4	TE23	3	2	54	0
10	3.7	TE27	4	1	32	0
12	0.0	TE59	1	0	0	0
13	0.0	TE61	2	0	0	0
14	0.0	TE58	1	0	0	0
15	1.1	TE54	2	1	6	0
16	10.8	TE14	4	3	33	1
17	12.4	TE7	4	2	54	1