Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

QB

Teddy Bridgewater

DET

QB39 · overall #413 · tier 8 · age 33

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Projected points

53

7.6/gm

Value over replacement

-56

repl 250

Range

14–92

sd 39

Week

1.5

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
17.7
Pass yards / game
128
Pass TD / game
0.79
Carries / game
1.2
Rush yards / game
6
Rush TD / game
0.03
Games projected
7.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
3.3
Games of history
9
Age multiplier
0.958
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.5
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.69
OL pass protection
+0.61
OL continuity
43%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.24
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
28% / 60%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
43
Effective contributors
–
Top player's share
–
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.45

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
sell high
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CAR,ARI
Window matchup
+0.41
Opponents after
GB,MIN,MIA
After matchup
-0.11
Flip edge
+0.52
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.28

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

3

Points

2.9

Per game

0.96

17-gm pace

16

Best / worst

3.1 / -0.1

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
7-0.1QB35000001-10
11-0.1QB36000001-10
123.1QB288156200160